The H.E.A.T. Formula
August 9, 2024
April 18, 2024

Financial News vs. Noise

All The News That Isn't Fit To Print

Another sell the pop day in the market. This time it wasn’t rates it was earnings. ASML missed by a fairly big margin which pulled down the entire semi space. I believe Taiwan Semi reported last night and reported better than expected numbers, but it is red so far this morning. As semi’s go, so goes this market. If we get higher rates, war in the Middle East, and problems with semi’s, that will probably be too much.

The S&P continues to look like a short with 5000 the next big support area.

Also watch yesterday’s low of 5007.26.

NVDA is testing it’s 50 day. A break would technically be a short, however I would be hesitant to short NVDA. I did buy some SMH puts the other day to hedge my AI stock longs, that’s mostly NVDA and is a slightly safer way to play.

If we do get some more weakness in semi’s I may look to finance some calls in some of the more correlated names with SMH call credit spreads. That way if the market tanks I break even.

With VIX coming down and rates tame at the moment my focus would be on semi’s.

Stock Market Today: Futures Rise After TSMC Earnings-WSJ

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