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Our Next Webinar:

Topic: How to Determine the Best Potential Investment Themes.

When: Oct 24,2024 11:00 AM Pacific Time

Register in advance for this webinar:

https://zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_nicbiSSlTwqTDXqOmfd1cA

Why Things Like Factors, Asset Classes, Styles, and Market Cap Diversification are Stupid.

Why most thematic ETFs suck.

How to use first-order, second-order, and third-order thinking to pick stocks and ETFs with the best potential upside.

One below-the-radar theme that could end up being extremely relevant regardless of who wins the election.

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There will be a recording sent out to those who register

 For Investment Pros Only

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Themes

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Looking for the next possible theme? Maybe an old favorite......

Paul Tudor Jones: 'All Roads Lead to Inflation;' He's Long Bitcoin and Gold-Yahoo Finance

"I think all roads lead to inflation," he said. "I'm long gold, long bitcoin." Tudor added that he would short fixed income, particularly longer duration paper.

His comments about the fiscal situation echoed similar warnings from other major public figures, with even Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell noting that U.S. debt levels are untenable. Tudor's fellow legendary investor Stanley Druckenmiller recently also disclosed betting against U.S. government bonds.

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I'm long Bitcoin and gold miners. Would love to get into some silver miners, but not going to chase. Talked about MARA on the Watchlist yesterday as a name I recently added. Not nearly as extended as some of the others.

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Or this one.....

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Wall Street Pros Get Into Position to Profit From a Trump Win-WSJ

While most polling still shows a tight race, that shift has rippled across markets in recent weeks, boosting assets seen as likely to benefit from a Republican victory. For instance, the private-prison operator GEO Group is up 21% in October, on pace for its best month since 2022, while the bitcoin miner Riot Platforms has risen 34%.

The well-known hedge-fund manager Dan Loeb reckons that a Trump victory has become more likely, he said this month. His $11 billion firm, Third Point, has added to positions that could benefit, by buying stocks and options, and shifted away from companies that won’t.

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Should have gotten back into GEO when I saw the momentum shifting. Interestingly, DJT popped up on my short watchlist again today. These are system trades that look for overbought stocks. I would be buying puts if DJT goes up 2% and again up 4%. If it doesn't pop then we do nothing.

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CXW is something I may look at. Not as good as GEO, which is why it hasn't moved nearly as much. May move in sympathy though...

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Inverse Regional Banks

A Small Bank’s Failure Leaves Big Depositors Feeling the Pain-WSJ

That was the case for uninsured depositors of First National Bank of Lindsay in Lindsay, Okla. Federal regulators announced late Friday that it had failed and that another small lender agreed to assume its insured deposits—but not its $7 million of deposits that exceeded FDIC insurance limits.

Wonder why anyone would keep large balances at regional banks?

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https://www.shortregionalbanks.com/

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Hedges

So You Have Decided to Buy Bonds. Here Are Six Charts Showing Your Options.-WSJ

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Or just ask yourself why you want to buy something that the smartest hedge fund managers on the planet are shorting.