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Please register for: The Best Investment Themes Post Election 

on Nov 21, 2024 11:00 AM PST at:

https://attendee.gotowebinar.com/register/8455197581530760535

Matthew Tuttle will discuss:

Three below the radar investment themes that have nothing to do with AI.

How to design trades for asymmetric returns.

How to profit from the Fed’s stupidity.

Why bonds are a stupid investment and what to do instead.

If you would like CFP™ education credit (½ hour),  please email pneville@tuttlecap.com your CFP™ID number.

If you can't make the live webinar, register and we will send are cap.

For investment pros only.

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What a week. Trump's win, and the fact we don't have legal challenges, protests, etc., sets the stage for a year end risk on rally and the continuation of the Trump trade. Doesn't hurt that the Fed cut rates, looks poised to cut again in December, and possibly another 100 bps next year. In no particular order here are some Trump themes we will be playing:

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Prison Stocks -GEO, CXW

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I was fooled by all the "too close to call" predictions so the only Trump trade I put on pre election (besides Bitcoin) was GEO. I've owned this in the past and sold when they switched out Biden for Harris. The dip after the Iowa poll was too enticing and even if Trump lost it's a real company. Wouldn't be buying here, I took off half of my position and will buy back in if we get a dip.

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CXW is a bit weaker, they had an earnings issue a few months back. Would look to buy a dip.

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Self Defense Theme-GUNZ, PLTR, AXON, SWBI

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I liked this theme regardless of who won and the Trump win didn't disappoint. GUNZ has been ripping as has PLTR and AXON. SWBI is still buyable here.

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European Defense Stocks-EUAD

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It's likely that the chances of a war in Europe go down, but it's also likely that Trump makes the European countries pay more for their own defense. We think this is a huge headwind for European defense stocks. The launch timing of EUAD was not a coincidence.

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DJT For Trading

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I didn't touch DJT pre election as I believe it would have eventually gone to zero if Harris won. As is, it's still not a viable company, but it has a chance. I would not buy and hold this name until they execute on a plan to be a viable company, but I do think it will be a great trading stock.

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Crypto

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We have a pro crypto President and looks like we are going to get a pro crypto SEC chair. Also not a coincidence we have 2x spot Bitcoin (BTCL) 2x spot Eth (ETU) and 2x MSTR (MSTU)

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META

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Did Zuckerberg know something when he admitted to censorship? Better to be on Trump's good side than his bad side. Nice bounce off the 50 day, I may look to get long this name this week.

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TSLA

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Did Elon also see something early on? No doubt he's the biggest winner from Tuesday. Stock is extended but would look for a spot to add.

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Politically Neutral-ESGX

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Be interesting to see how this all impacts ESG and DEI. I still love the politically neutral theme as I believe companies that solely focus on profits will do a better job of generating them.

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Trump Will Bury ESG, But It Was Already Dead-Bloomberg

The green investing revolution never stood a chance in the US once ensnared by the culture wars, but that wasn’t the only cause of death

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Oil Drillers- Drill Baby Drill

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Short Solar

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Not sure how much juice is left in here. I'm currently short TAN and would look to add anytime it bumps up against the 200 day.

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Short Mexico

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Same as solar, not sure how much is left here, but will be looking for spots to short.

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MAHA

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I grabbed the ticker symbol MAHA in case I want to do an ETF that shorts big food and big pharma. Just not sure what RFK Jr. will be allowed or able to do so will be watching this closely. MRNA has already gone down massively since June...

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Long weight loss drugs has been one of my favorite themes, and I do have calls on LLY, NVO, and VKTX. Not going to do anything with that until I get a better sense.

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Can RFK Jr. really ‘run wild’ on healthcare? Investors shouldn’t panic yet.-MarketWatch

If Trump really promised Kennedy he would gain control of public health agencies, as Kennedy has asserted, “that does not mean Kennedy will have carte blanche to do what he wants. There are rules, regulations, laws, etc., that will limit what Kennedy can do to some degree,” the analyst wrote.

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Meanwhile, any weakness is a buying opportunity....

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The AI Power Play May Be Running Out of Juice-Barron's

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The bullish case for power stocks was premised, at least in part, on tech companies signing lucrative agreements to plug their data centers directly into power plants. The data centers would get dedicated electricity, and the power companies would get guaranteed payments at above-market rates. But on Nov. 1, federal regulators rejected the first of those deals, which Amazon.com had signed with Talen to plug a data center into a Pennsylvania nuclear reactor that Talen owns. (Nuclear power has been in particularly high demand because it’s considered reliable and clean.) In reaction, Talen and Vistra stocks fell 2% and 3%, respectively, and Constellation—the largest owner of nuclear plants in the country—fell 12%.

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Imagine the power of AI integrated into every iPhone....

Apple users to get ChatGPT Plus upgrade option in the upcoming iOS 18.2-Phone Arena

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Bonds are not a risk reducer and are a crappy diversifier. You want to invest for asymmetrical returns and bonds are a heads I win a little, tails I can lose a good amount type of investment.

Bonds Are in Turmoil Again. How to Protect Your Portfolio.-Barron's

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How you protect your portfolio is to use bonds the right way.

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