The H.E.A.T. Formula
November 29, 2024
November 26, 2024

The H.E.A.T. Formula

All The News That Isn't Fit To Print

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I am going to be on a Wolf Twitter spaces today at 1pm EST.

Overnight Trump threatened tariffs on China, Canada, and Mexico. This caused some immediate weakness but futures pretty flat so far this morning. Bitcoin is finally selling off a bit....

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If you are looking to buy the dip you could use the 10 day moving average as a reference point.

Big down day for rates (and up for TLT) yesterday, suppose on the Bessent pick. My long model flipped short. If I was playing this discretionarily I would either look at a break back below the 200 day or failure at the 50 day as a sport to short.

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Gold dropped on an easing of geopolitical concerns. I don't think that's the main case for precious metals here so I would still be a buyer.

Few names I like here on the longside, nothing jumps out at me on the short side.

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This seems like putting politics before anything else....

Tesla Excluded From EV Buyer Credits in California Proposal-Bloomberg

Themes

Crypto

Semler Scientific is an interesting name that seems to be trying to copy MSTRs strategy.

MicroStrategy Doubles Down With $5B Bitcoin, Semler Scientific Follows With $29M Purchase-CCN

You can't blame them. Don't think I would buy it up here, but on a dip into the 10 day maybe an interesting spec.

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I would expect more of this.

European Defense

Under Trump, European Defense Stocks Will Soar. Here's How to Invest.-The Globe and Mail

Fortunately for U.S. investors, there was a recent launch - on Oct. 22 - of an ETF from Tuttle Capital Management that gives investors an easy way to play the broad European defense sector. It is the Select STOXX Europe Aerospace & Defense ETF (EUAD).
The fund is based on the STOXX Europe Total Market Aerospace & Defense index, which is up 37.61% over the past year and 31.46% year-to-date. The fund expense ratio is 0.50%.