The H.E.A.T. Formula
October 15, 2024
October 15, 2024

The H.E.A.T. Formula

All The News That Isn't Fit To Print

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Our Next Webinar:

Topic: How to Determine the Best Potential Investment Themes.

When: Oct 24,2024 11:00 AM Pacific Time

Register in advance for this webinar:

https://zoom.us/webinar/register/WN_nicbiSSlTwqTDXqOmfd1cA

Why Things Like Factors, Asset Classes, Styles, and Market Cap Diversification are Stupid.

Why most thematic ETFs suck.

How to use first-order, second-order, and third-order thinking to pick stocks and ETFs with the best potential upside.

One below-the-radar theme that could end up being extremely relevant regardless of who wins the election.

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Themes

AI Power

Google signs deal with nuclear company as data center power demand surges-CNBC.com

“We believe that nuclear energy has a critical role to play in supporting our clean growth and helping to deliver on the progress of AI,” Michael Terrell, senior director for energy and climate at Google, said on a call with reporters. “The grid needs these kinds of clean, reliable sources of energy that can support the build out of these technologies. ... We feel like nuclear can play an important role in helping to meet our demand, and helping meet our demand cleanly, in a way that’s more around the clock.”

It's early, but all the AI power names look to be moving on this news.

May have an impact on NVDA today, red so far this morning. Still think any dips on this name should be bought.

U.S. reportedly considering caps on exports of AI chips to certain countries-MarketWatch

Crypto

Bitcoin’s Jump Is Boosting MicroStrategy and Other Crypto Stocks. Be Careful.-Barron's

MSTR opened big and pulled back. Makes sense, can't go up in a straight line. Green again this morning, don't be surprised if we see dip buyers. We are seeing flows into the 2x long and the 2xshort. Think you have to be careful, which is why you design trades with asymmetric risk.

Image

Inverse Cramer

FWIW.....

Jim Cramer explains why the Magnificent Seven have lasting strength in the market-CNBC.com

Hedges

Not sure what to make of this, but the consensus is typically wrong. Always have hedges in place.

Trump opens up largest betting lead since days after Biden's dropout-Fox News

I run a strategy that shorts "overbought" stocks. Once a stock shows up on the filter it has to appreciate another 2% for one model to trigger, and 4% for the other. Have been talking to the media a lot about DJT, most recently...

Trump’s social media stock is making an epic comeback as election nears-CNN

I stopped trading DJT to the long side when they switched Biden for Harris, but this morning it showed up in both short models. It has to jump again today for them to trigger, but honestly not a bad spot to short this name (puts only).

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